President Trump’s First 100 Days: Support is Entrenched
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Key Takeaways
- Despite harsh media narratives and uncertainty around key voter issues, support has remained relatively steady in the first 100 days of Trump 2.0.
- The Russia-Ukraine conflict, controversy around deportations, and fear for the economy due to tariffs create some negativity online among voters.
- However, despite media fearmongering, President Trump has yet to see a significant collapse in support and his base remains optimistic.
- As political enthusiasm wanes and moderates grow critical, urgently stemming defections should become a priority.
Our Methodology
Demographics
All Voters
Sample Size
595,000
Geographical Breakdown
National
Time Period
100 Days
MIG Reports leverages EyesOver technology, employing Advanced AI for precise analysis. This ensures unparalleled precision, setting a new standard. Find out more about the unique data pull for this article.
High expectations ushered President Trump into his second term as supporters claimed a mandate handed down by the people in November. In his first month, Trump enjoyed soaring enthusiasm in the base and escalating concern from his opposition.
Now, hardening polarization on both sides seems to lock sentiment in a narrow channel, preventing President Trump’s support from dipping too low—but also guaranteeing criticism remains vehement.
Voter Views of Trump 2.0
The national mood around President Trump's second term is emotional and tribal. His base—around 30-35% of discussions—remains intensely loyal. They interpret ongoing criticism and decreasing sentiment as confirmation that Trump remains a threat to the establishment. Democrats and “Never Trumpers” have hardened into firm opposition, framing Trump as an existential threat to democratic norms.
A segment of independents and moderates, many of whom have been willing to give Trump chance, may drifting away. Their concerns center on:
- Foreign policy missteps regarding Ukraine, Russia, and China
- Fear of rising prices from tariff policies
- Perceived constitutional overreach
Border security discussion continues to show strong positivity (55-60%), but trade and foreign policy discussions waver around 35-40% positivity.
Trump’s overall sentiment dropped slightly at the beginning of March as wall-to-wall media coverage of tariffs and Russia questioned the administration’s tactics. However, daily online engagement regarding Trump remains high, ranging between 15,000–25,000 posts per day, and sentiment remains steady.
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- In the last 30 days, discussions have focused on trade, China, Russia, and the border.
- Over the last 24 hours, President trump has gained support on trade, China, and military topics.
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Trump as an Anti-Establishment Figurehead
Large rural counties continue to anchor Trump’s political base. These voters see President Trump as a political leader who is acting as the last real bulwark against cultural, economic, and political collapse driven by urban elites. Their loyalty is intensely personal, and policy outcomes matter less than the fight itself.
This dynamic reinforces cultural and political realignments away from traditional transactional politics toward ideological adherence. Trump's battles against legacy media, bureaucrats, and globalists are the core proof points of authenticity in the eyes of his base. Supporters view every indictment, headline, or poll showing declining national support as a badge of honor.
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Media and Moderate Sentiment Erosion
Foreign policy optics around Ukraine and Russia have become an axis of disenchantment. Trump's behavior at the Pope’s Vatican funeral and his unclear stance on Ukraine reinforce critical perceptions that he is unserious, self-interested, and diplomatically dangerous.
Economic pain is another reason for cooling enthusiasm among moderates and swing voters. Tariff-driven price increases on food, housing, and imported goods cause concern for all who are uncertain of Trump's economic strategy and its consequences. However, economic sentiment remains relatively strong compared to Russia-Ukraine sentiment.
Constitutional concerns among critics also surge. Aggressive executive orders, deportations billed as “without due process,” and talk of arresting judges and politicians like Adam Schiff turn some swing voters from skepticism to active opposition. Broken grand promises, like ending the Ukraine war in 24 hours, now serve as symbolic proof that the administration's rhetoric has outpaced its competence.
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The Role of Media in Shaping Polarization
Media narratives accelerate negativity, showcasing concerns and fears for daily news consumers and penetrating less political voters over time. Within Trump’s base, negative media coverage is a validation that he is fighting hostile interests. For many independents and critics, sustained negative media coverage intensifies distrust.
This dynamic is captured in the media trust levels among key voter groups:
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Trump loyalists treat negative press as a feature, not a bug. Critics and independents, however, increasingly trust the media narrative that Trump's leadership threatens constitutional norms and American credibility abroad.
Opportunities for Shoring Up the Middle
With rapid and major changes sweeping across the first 100 days of Trump 2.0, it’s still possible to stabilize support outside of Trump’s core base. An imminent resolution to the Ukraine-Russia conflict and staying away from perceptions of capitulation to Russia could help quell fears.
Delivering visible economic relief—particularly through stable consumer prices and middle-class tax relief—would also restore credibility among swing voters. Public reaffirmation of constitutional norms, even symbolic, could blunt accusations of authoritarianism.
Bringing forward newer, disciplined administrative figures could help project stability without requiring Trump to alter his personal style. However, the cultural emotional drift away from Trump among independents may also be tied to political disengagement.
Strategic Outlook
Maximizing loyalty among rural and populist voters while urgently stemming defections among suburban and independent moderates will continue to normalize the new political paradigm. Despite continuous negative coverage, strong support from the American people on critical issues like the border and the cultural war forces the media and democrats to moderate.
Rather than changing policy positions or rhetorically pursuing outlier support, positive results will continue to move the needle for Trump 2.0. The media environment, shaped by identity-driven narratives, will continue to magnify both Trump's successes and failures. Relying on media mistrust alone is insufficient to build credibility outside of the MAGA base.
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